Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014627 0.018097 0.022575 0.028944 0.038063 0.051156 0.072434
2025-02-02 0.011081 0.015132 0.021190 0.031534 0.050293 0.086922 0.179023
2025-02-09 0.008883 0.012839 0.019304 0.031727 0.058402 0.125417 0.388573
2025-02-16 0.007515 0.011323 0.017969 0.031990 0.066754 0.177994 0.931900
2025-02-23 0.006520 0.010142 0.016797 0.031950 0.074532 0.247160 2.663345
2025-03-02 0.005617 0.008921 0.015207 0.030285 0.076685 0.304152 7.704285
2025-03-09 0.004995 0.008090 0.014175 0.029538 0.081416 0.396481 52.950306
2025-03-16 0.004601 0.007614 0.013755 0.030192 0.092197 0.594638 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004237 0.007135 0.013221 0.030331 0.101556 0.876434 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003830 0.006515 0.012251 0.028854 0.102272 1.081389 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003524 0.006060 0.011582 0.028088 0.106323 1.460232 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003351 0.005855 0.011463 0.029063 0.122109 2.743784 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003229 0.005775 0.011719 0.031811 0.158779 11.341655 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003109 0.005688 0.011958 0.034818 0.211110 254.528203 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002904 0.005382 0.011545 0.035042 0.240704 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002727 0.005114 0.011185 0.035344 0.276125 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002561 0.004852 0.010787 0.035298 0.310535 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002366 0.004500 0.010066 0.033391 0.308230 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002218 0.004245 0.009593 0.032538 0.325799 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002123 0.004105 0.009440 0.033285 0.386877 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002023 0.003944 0.009195 0.033444 0.441562 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001895 0.003701 0.008661 0.031757 0.434126 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001794 0.003518 0.008289 0.030884 0.452638 NaN NaN